Lucid Media - See Clearly

Archive for June, 2009

Promising Platforms

Wednesday, June 10th, 2009

The new TNS Media Intelligence Report is out and Adotas has jumped on it with their Display Advertising Shows Signs of Life e-newsletter today. The reports indicates that for the first quarter of 2009, the total measured advertising expenditures they track dropped 14.2% versus a year ago, down to $30.18B. This follows a 9.2 percent decline in Q4 2008 as the advertising recession accelerated in the new year. While that may not seem like good news, consider they indicate that internet display-specific advertising spend is actually up 8.2% over the same time period last year which I believe is better than expected considering all the frozen budgets, wait and see attitudes, and narrowed lines of sight. Although it is lower than the original double-digit growth predicted last year, it is still growth—and very healthy growth at that. Wipe away all the historical (and semi-hysterical) predictions of double digit growth ad infinitum and look at 8.2% growth on its own—among a sea of declining numbers—and you have a very clear sign. So why is display standing out like a shining star pointing the way ahead in our rocky sector of space? A lot of the growth they are reporting is being driven by the new free market exchange models that are moving onto the plateau of productivity and at the same time relegating the old ad network models to the trough of disillusionment. From this emergence, not only is publisher yield inching back upwards, advertisers are finally smelling the real meat of return on their spend. That alone has been happening for almost a year now and is not the whole story behind this successful metric. The promise of data has recently begun to materialize through all kinds of platforms with their new insights and relevant analytics. It is this confluence of forces, the emergence of the exchange model and the promise of data being realized through the platforms that is drawing advertisers to invest in display at a healthy clip. And when the exchange playing field congeals a bit further, and at the same time a few of the platform players begin to dominate inside the agencies, we will see a whole new display advertising sector. Gone will be banners and CPMs and premium and remnant. We will have a truly value priced free market exchange of media in real time that rewards the publisher and empowers the advertiser. We’ll have less layers and less middlemen and less latency. We’ll have more return, more clarity, more accountability, and real transparency. If one thing is certain, it will be nothing like the display business of last year.